Planet Grok

Where intuition reigns supreme

Predictions for Obsidian

Posted by PlanetGrok on February 10, 2010

Obsidian is another snowed-in homesicle with too much time on his hands. He challenges his readers to make 20 predictions for the coming decade. Here’s my shot at tackling them.

1. Looking ahead for 2010-and the decade as well-how do you see the national economy? Will the stimulus package(s) work, and why/why not?

The national economy will be shit due to massive debt and a population rapidly deteriorating in both cultural and genetic demographics.

2. Speaking of areas of the economy, what will be the “growth sectors” in the coming decade? What areas will we see a shrinking or contraction of? Will either hold post-2020? If so/not, why?

Growth-Nanotechnology, genetics, robotics, China.

Decline – Manufacturing, banking.

I expect the trends to continue past 2020 due to the coming Singularity.

3. Over the past decade or so-from 2000 to present, we’ve seen two “bubbles” bursting-the socalled “tech” bubble, and the more recent banking/subprime mortage bubble. Te former wasn’t as bad, some econ-type say, because it was largely an “insider baseball” kind of game; the only people truly effected, were the “players” themselves. Not so with the latter, and I need no reiterate here. My question to you Gents, is what is the next “bubble” to burst, when can we expect it to go down, assuming it does happen over the course of the current decade, and what will be the overall net impact?

The next huge bubble is certainly in higher education and maybe China (speculation will outpace even true progress). Who knows when it will pop, but if you can figure it out, then you could become very rich. The net impact will be disastrous and many companies and people will have to file bankruptcy.  Demand for useless liberal arts and business management degrees will dry up and intelligent people will go for more technical fields.

4. Much has been said about the Walls St/Main St dichotomy; for the former, despite heavy losses and taxpayer funded bailouts, life has largely been good there, wit[sic] top dogs and fat cats at major American banks getting hefty year end bonuses, while Main St suffers a slow and undignified death. Many have observed that the chasm between haves and have nots continues to widen; worse, that the channels, or access, to upward mobility lessen with each passing year. What are your thoughts on all of this in coming decade? Will this trend reverse itself, ease somewhat, or will it continue unabated, a kind of 21st century Dickensian nightmare?

It will continue to widen because of assortative mating. The smart are becoming smarter and weaker and the masses are becoming dumber and more violent. It will take a great culling of either human or natural origin to prevent evolution into a sort of Morlocks and Eloi.

5. All of you are quite familiar with what some has referred to as the Mancession-what I want to ask you all is simply this: how long will it continue, what will be the likely impact and fallout, short term (this year) and long term (over the course of the decade), and where will the Men hit by it go from here? What do you see it most likely to happen?

I see the mancession abating because Men are more capable of the technical expertise that will drive our economy in the future.

6. Continuing on from the preceeding question, not only is little if anything is said about the Mancession on ANY MSM channel, network, website or blog…what are, and will be, the social ramifications for the literal flip-flopping of labor power here, from a majority Male workforce, to a majority Female one? How will this effect us, and in what ways will we see this over the coming decade? Does anyone see anything manifesting itself on the horizon, this year?

I do not think the Mancession will affect intelligent males who can retrain themselves. For the lower IQ sort who can only do easily automated blue collar work…well, who cares about those guys?

7. …With all that in mind, what will the coming decade bring along these lines-more instances of Woods and Orszag-like scandals of heretofore “squeaky” clean imaged Men? What does this mean for social institutions like Marriage?

Of course. And it will be entertaining.

Marriage is here to stay though.

8. As you all know, I am an African American, and as such, I have a keen interest in issues that effects them a bit more than everyone else. When it comes to Men overall, one is hardpressed to think up a subset that has been hardest hit than Black Males. I need not revisit the stats, you all know them. With a Black President in office for the first time in American history, do any of you see President Obama actually doing anything to address the many problems that besiege Black Men particularly, and ironically enough are now starting to plague the wider and Whiter American community, and if so/not, why? Do you see, or don’t see, any significant action or initiatives, taking place on this front in this decade?

When President Obama can raise the average IQ scores of black males, then the disparate impact of negative economic conditions will end. Until then, there is little hope. I do not mean this in a mean spirited way. Smart blacks who have won the genetic lottery and have triple digit IQ should avoid the primitive tribalism that fosters a false sense of camaraderie with dumber blacks. I do not feel any affinity for stupid prole whites. Why should it be any different for smart blacks?

9. Dovetailing the above and previous questions, what are your thoughts for the future of American education?

See # 3.

10. Much of our discussions revolve around Women; last year, Maria Shriver released her much lauded “A Woman’s Nation” report. Given what it says, and your own thoughts on the matter, how will Women fare in this decade? What are the upsides, and downsides, and when do you see each manifesting itself?

Women will maintain their hegemony of American culture as far as I can see. The upside is that women are not afraid to be smart and contribute anymore. The downside is that they are taken out of the breeding pool through obsessive careerism.

11. Given the ever-quickening pace and accessibility of technology, what do you see on the horizon as the next big or even “micro” trends over the next decade? What will be the next “big thing” for the masses? What major pharma or tech-related innovations, discoveries and the like, that’s next to come to market, this year and in the coming decade? How will all of this change the way in which we as humans, as Americans, relate to each other?

A deeper understanding of genetics will cause much despair in certain quarters when people find out they are generally useless, doomed to a low IQ or violent predilections or some other pathology.

12. A tremendous deal has been said about Game over the past few years, and some have suggested that it has gone “viral” or mainstream. That begs the question-will Game ever become a dominant force on the present/modern day American social and dating scene, and if so/not, why? What *is* the Future, of Game, say, circa 2020? How will Women “adapt”-can they? How will Game “evolve”? Will it still be relevant, ten years from now? How? In which way(s)?

Game will always be relevant, but increased exposure will separate the creative from the cloners as females develop their own game. There will be the emergence of a female Mystery.

13. On to the world stage. Let’s begin with the recent “underwear bomber” scare a few weeks back. It appears clear now that we’re no closer to getting a handle on Al Qaeda than we were nearly a decade ago, with Sep 11, 2001. What do you perceive as President Obama’s next move(s) will be on this front, will heads roll in the wake of the current fiasco, and how will all of this effect American lives? Can we install an “El Al” type scheme? If so/not, why? Do you see another major terrorist attack on US soil, and if so, when? Can Al Qaeda be defeated, and if so/not, why? Where do you see the War On Terror moving to next-Somalia, or some other African country? Yemen? Where?

Al Quaida (arabic for “the database” – a CIA computer file) and Tim OSSman are a hoax perpetuated by the powers at be who need an enemy to fight. The war on Terror will move here next when a biological attack is made on US soil. Government complicity will again be “unclear”, as it was in the anthrax mailing attacks that used anthrax developed by the military and culminated in some hapless Patsy scientist’s DC-Madame-esque “suicide”.

14. What are your thoughts of Obama’s plans for Afghanistan, and will they work? If so/not, why? What can it mean for the larger region-Iran, India, Pakistan? What about Iraq?

It’s terrible for the entire region. He has proven to be quite a neo-con. They whole region will be saturated with violence because that is just what you always get with Arabic Muslim countries. The only difference now is that we have CNN and can see it all.

16. Many have suggested that the “emerging” world economies/powers, like China, India, South Korea and Brazil, will overtake the United States in this century. 100 years is a bit far off for my radar and tastes, so let’s just focus on the next ten years. What do you make of all the punditry surrounding these countries? Will they in fact become major players on the world stage by or before 2020, and if so/not, why? Personally, I see many social, political, economic and even environmental problems for all these countries, though to varying degrees depending on the particular country involved. But I put this question to all of you, my friends. Additionally, what do you see ahead for the African continent-what countries look to be up and coming stars on the horizon, and which ones are likely to fall over into the abyss in the coming decade? What role Africa, as a whole, play in the coming decade, and what role, is any, will the aforementioned “emerging powers”, and/or the USA, play in it? What say you?

China will become the 2nd most powerful country in the world, if it isnt already. India is about a decade or two behind China and will be our allies against the Sinos. Africa will languish as it always has largely for HBD reasons but Nigeria and Kenya might do ok by smart trading with the Chinese.

17. Speaking of the environment, what are your views of Global Warming/Climate Change? Will this have particular impact for our nation in the coming decade, and if so, how?

It is greatly exaggerated but not totally false. Whether or not it has impact will depend on the strength of the opposition. We need more exposes and hack jobs.

18. Many of you here are at the least familiar with “HBD”, or Human Bio Diversity, if not out and out supporters of that view. What do you see as the future of said views, over the course of the coming decade? Do you see any evidence from where you sit in Jan 2010, of it becoming more mainstream, or the reverse? Some have suggested that it is the last remaining taboo of the Scientific World.

I think there will be one last big fight over HBD, in which the PC forces will declare victory by tarring and feathering the scene’s more questionable and tendentious characters like Richard Lynn, but they will eventually acquiesce to the basic tenets of HBD and act like they always knew it all along.

19. This question follows the last, in that it has to do with a particular focus of the HBD crowd-IQ. For them, it is the most consistent and reliable indicator and predictor of life measures and outcomes across the human spectrum, from national GDP to personal conscientiousness. Many pundits, like the New York Times Tom Friedman, have made clear that the 21st century belongs to those who have the brainpower to take full advantage of all its wonderous possibilities. Personally, I think IQ is overrated, but I wanted to get the view of Men I consider much smarter than myself, LOL. What do you think? Is there one way to measure IQ, or many?

There are several ways to measure intelligence, and probably different kinds of intelligence, but they are all highly correlated with each other.  I do not think IQ is over rated. I think it is under rated.

20. And finally, the last question-the last ten years has been dubbed “The Lost Decade”. Personally, I would largely agree with that moniker-but I think it will not be the only one. It is my view, based on my astrological researches, that the current decade will not be looked back upon favorably either. But how do you think this decade will be remembered?

I can agree with the “Lost Decade” meme. It was a fairly useless decade for an ordinary person.


3 Responses to “Predictions for Obsidian”

  1. Asian Game said

    — What are your thoughts of Obama’s plans for Afghanistan, and will they work? If so/not, why? What can it mean for the larger region-Iran, India, Pakistan? What about Iraq?

    — It’s terrible for the entire region. He has proven to be quite a neo-con. They whole region will be saturated with violence because that is just what you always get with Arabic Muslim countries. The only difference now is that we have CNN and can see it all.

    THE ONLY ARABIC (arabic is a language, I guess you meant to say “arab”) country mentioned above is Iraq.

    Iran, Afghanistan, and Pakistan are majority “Muslim countries, but NOT Arab.

    Muslims are a minority in India.

  2. Asian Game said


    Check this interesting video:

  3. PlanetGrok said

    Duly noted. I was sloppy with my adjectives.

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